Global Market Report2025 Edition
The world runs
on coffee.
$528B GLOBAL MARKET · 2.25B CUPS / DAY · 178M BAGS PRODUCED
From smallholder farms across the equatorial belt to the $7 latte in your hand — the economics of the world's most traded agricultural commodity, dissected.
Market size$528B2025 estimated
Daily cups2.25BAcross 70+ countries
Arabica price$3.82/lbAll-time high, +60% YoY
2030 forecast$711B5.3% CAGR
ARABICA $3.82/lb ↑60%ROBUSTA $2.61/lb ↑80%BRAZIL 66.4M bagsVIETNAM 29.5M bagsDAILY CUPS 2.25B$528B MARKET125M EMPLOYED5.3% CAGR55% SPECIALTY (US)$711B BY 2030ARABICA $3.82/lb ↑60%ROBUSTA $2.61/lb ↑80%BRAZIL 66.4M bagsVIETNAM 29.5M bagsDAILY CUPS 2.25B$528B MARKET125M EMPLOYED5.3% CAGR55% SPECIALTY (US)$711B BY 2030
Market trajectory
Half a trillion and climbing
The global coffee market has grown 46% since 2018, weathering a pandemic dip in 2020 before accelerating. Specialty and RTD segments are driving the surge.
Global coffee market size
$ billions · includes 2030 forecast2018 → 2030 CAGR
5.7%
Historical Current Forecast
At a glance
The numbers that move the needle
Producing countries🌍
0+
Across the Bean BeltFarmers worldwide👨🌾
0M
80% are smallholdersDaily global trade📊
$0.0B
Second only to crude oilEmployment🏭
0M
Farm to cup, globallySpecialty share☕
0%
Of US coffee salesArabica dominance🫘
0%
Of global productionAnnual growth📈
0.0%
CAGR 2025–2030Price surge (YoY)🔥
+0%
Arabica, Dec 2024–2025Price action
Arabica hits all-time highs
Climate shocks in Brazil and Vietnam, combined with surging global demand, have pushed Arabica futures to $3.82/lb — the highest price in the commodity's recorded history.
Arabica vs Robusta
$/lb · ICO composite indicatorWhy prices are surging
Key supply-side drivers-18%
Brazilian drought
Worst in 40 years. Minas Gerais output down 18% in 2024 harvest.
-15%
Vietnam typhoons
Robusta's #1 producer lost 15% of crop to Typhoon Yagi (Sep 2024).
+8%
EU deforestation law
EUDR compliance adding $0.10–0.20/lb to sourcing costs for importers.
+15%
Demand growth
China consumption up 15% CAGR. Gen Z driving specialty globally.
ARABICA $3.82/lb ↑60%ROBUSTA $2.61/lb ↑80%BRAZIL 66.4M bagsVIETNAM 29.5M bagsDAILY CUPS 2.25B$528B MARKET125M EMPLOYED5.3% CAGR55% SPECIALTY (US)$711B BY 2030ARABICA $3.82/lb ↑60%ROBUSTA $2.61/lb ↑80%BRAZIL 66.4M bagsVIETNAM 29.5M bagsDAILY CUPS 2.25B$528B MARKET125M EMPLOYED5.3% CAGR55% SPECIALTY (US)$711B BY 2030
Breakdown
Where the money goes
Market segments
% of global revenueRoasted45%
Instant28%
RTD15%
Specialty12%
The $5 latte breakdown
Who captures what from a single cupFarmer
10%
Export / Mill
8%
Shipping
5%
Roaster
22%
Retailer
25%
Café markup
30%
The farmer who grows your coffee captures roughly $0.50 of a $5 latte. Café markup and retail capture 55% of the final price.